New Forecast Calls for Below Average Hurricane Season

Hurricane Beryl 2024 Cloud Map Gulf Of Mexico 3D Render Color

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The first major Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast has been released.

Colorado State University is calling for the smallest number of storms that we have seen since 2019.

  • 13 named storms
  • 6 hurricanes
  • 2 major hurricanes

Two big factors are driving this forecast: warm sea-surface temperatures and a developing El Niño. Warmer water typically supports a more active season, but El Niño usually suppresses tropical activity. That tug-of-war is why this season is expected to land around average (or slightly below) instead of extremely active.

The season begins on June 1st.


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